- Heavy precipitation triggers numerous floods across several provinces of Kenya.
- Suppressed seasonal rainfall continues to strengthen dryness throughout many regions in southern Africa.
1) Above-average seasonal rainfall has led to abovenormal river levels along the Shabelle and Jubba River basins. Although a reduction of precipitation has been observed during the middle of November, additional rains are expected to sustain the risk for flooding in the region.
2) Very low and infrequent precipitation across many states in South Africa and neighboring countries has resulted in significant early season moisture deficits, particularly in the KwaZulu-Natal region, and in parts of Swaziland, and southern Mozambique. The continuation of low rainfall in late November and early December is expected rapidly worsen ground conditions and impede cropping activities due higher than normal temperatures, and due to poor rains from last year’s monsoon, which has already depleted water resources.
3) Poorly distributed rainfall since September has resulted in a strengthening of early season moisture deficits and degraded ground conditions throughout several provinces of northern and central Angola.
4) Several consecutive weeks of above-average rainfall has increased the risk for flooding and river inundation in the White Nile, Jonglei, and Eastern Equatorial provinces of South Sudan.
5) Significantly heavy rains within the last two weeks has resulted numerous floods, thousands of displaced people and fatalities throughout several provinces in Kenya. Flooding has been particularly severe along the Thanantu and Tana rivers.
6) Despite the recent increase in rainfall across Kenya, Poorly distributed rainfall since the beginning of October has resulted in pockets of strong seasonal moisture deficits throughout parts of central Kenya and northeastern Tanzania.